October 2020 Summary Statistics

Like I did with the months of March, April, May, June, July, August, and September, I will present some summary statistics which can explain the trends that we observed during the month of October 2020.


Total Case Growth
Total cases on 30 September: 125,358
Total cases on 31 October: 143,251
Total fatality increase: 17,893

Smallest daily case increase: 326 (6 October)
Largest daily case increase: 911 (31 October)

Median daily growth rate: 0.42%
Average daily growth rate: 0.43%

Note: Even though I said back in the September update that I would cease publishing the daily percentage increase charts, the regional resurgence of cases in late October has warranted me to continue publishing then. Note the clear uptick beginning around the middle of the month.

I will not publish this chart for fatalities, unless they also undergo a resurgence (thus far they haven't).

 


Total Fatality Growth
Total fatalities on 30 September: 3,725
Total fatalities on 31 October: 3,860
Total fatality increase: 135

Smallest daily fatality increase: 0 (30 October)
Largest daily fatality increase: 10 (8 October)

Median & average daily growth rate: 0.11%


State-Level Shares for October 2020

Average & median share of regional cases for Maryland: 47%
Average & median share of regional fatalities for Maryland: 51%
Maryland share of DC metropolitan-area population: 42%

Average & median share of regional cases for DC: 12%
Average & median share of regional fatalities for DC: 17%
DC share of DC metropolitan-area population: 13%

Average & median share of regional cases for Virginia: 41%
Average & median share of regional fatalities for Virginia: 32%
Virginia share of DC metropolitan-area population: 45%






Population-adjusted statistics, per 1,000 of population (data as of 31 October)
MD cases: 28.241
MD fatalities: 0.829

DC cases: 24.726
DC fatalities: 0.920

VA cases: 23.273
VA fatalities: 0.490






Comments

  1. SimonNovember 3, 2020 at 12:29 PM

    Thank you for this service.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. TYNovember 4, 2020 at 7:01 AM

      Likewise, thank you for your readership and the comment. When I started on this project back in March, I didn't contemplate that it would continue on this late into 2020.

      Delete

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

End of the Road

My work on this blog is ending as of today. It appears, for better or worse, that the public is moving on from COVID-19, and it doesn't make sense to continue computing statistics for an issue of increasingly marginal public concern. Perhaps it is fitting that this is all occurring in early March, which is almost two years to the date since this all began . My initial effort was to try to do something productive with the situation, particularly as many of us felt fairly helpless. I hope at least some of my analysis was useful to you. I will not be making any more updates, revisions, etc. I will keep all of the posts and data up in perpetuity, or at least as long as Google/Blogger keeps this blog up.
Read more

February 3-9 2022 Update

Image
This post updates COVID-19 confirmed case data for the DC Metropolitan area as of 9 February 2022 2022  (covering 3 -9 February) .  The total confirmed cases in the DC area rose by 10,528 t o  933,857   ( average daily increase of 1,504 )  from  the previous total of  923,329 . Fatalities rose  by 210 t o  9,025   ( average daily increase of 30 )  from  the previous total of  8,815 . This will be my last weekly update, although I'll continue to do the monthly update. With the apparent retreat of the omicron variant, which occurred nearly as rapidly as it took off in December, I'm not really sure what relevance the case counts have any more (if they ever did, particularly once vaccines became available). If this is, as some experts claim, approaching an endemic status, then I don't really have much rationale for watching weekly movements. Cases DC Region: 933,857 By State DC Region (933,857) Maryland: 392,181 District of Columbia: 132,628 Virginia: 409,048 By Jurisdiction Ma
Read more

February 2022 Summary Statistics

Image
I will present some summary statistics which can explain the trends that we observed during the month of February 2022. This complements similar reports from   previous months . The post-peak decline of Omicron continued throughout the month. As of late February, the DC area is under 1,000 reported daily cases. This is the first time the region has been at that level since early December 2021 . Note that the apparent "spike" of infections in mid-late February was driven by single datum for 16 February (10,554 cases), which itself was driven by an unusual datum for Maryland (9,839 cases). I presume this was  backlog, and you will note that the downward trend continued. Total Case Growth Total cases on  31 January: 919,425 Total  cases  on 28 February: 959,092 Total  case  increase: 39,667 Smallest daily case increase: 343 (28 February) Largest daily case increase: 10,554  (16 February) Average daily increase: 1,417 Total Fatality Growth Total fatalities on  31 January: 8,756 T
Read more