June 2020 Summary Statistics

Much like I did with the months of March, April, and May, I hope to present some summary statistics which can explain the trends that we observed during the month of June.

Total Case Growth
Total cases on 31 May: 63,282
Total cases in 30 June: 79,450
Total case increase: 16,168

Smallest daily case increase: 288 (16 June)
Largest daily case increase: 1,133 (4 June)

Median daily growth rate: 1%
Average daily growth rate: 1%


Total Fatality Growth
Total fatalities on 31 May: 2,536
Total fatalities in 30 June: 3,121
Total fatality increase: 585

Smallest daily fatality increase: 5 (21 June)*
Largest daily fatality increase: 44 (3 June)

Median daily growth rate: 1%
Average daily growth rate: 1%
*Please see the 21 June update for an explanation about this datum.

 
State-Level Shares for June 2020

Average & median share of regional cases for Maryland: 47%, 47%
Average & median share of regional fatalities for Maryland: 53%, 53%
Maryland share of DC metropolitan-area population: 42%

Average & median share of regional cases for DC: 13%, 13%
Average & median share of regional fatalities for DC: 18%, 18%
DC share of DC metropolitan-area population: 13%

Average & median share of regional cases for Virginia: 40%, 40%
Average & median share of regional fatalities for Virginia: 29%, 29%
Virginia share of DC metropolitan-area population: 45%





Population-adjusted statistics, per 1,000 of population (data as of 30 June)
MD cases: 15.633
MD fatalities: 0.682

DC cases: 14.755
DC fatalities: 0.787

VA cases: 12.646
VA fatalities: 0.375

Comments

  1. ronbrownfanJuly 5, 2020 at 1:35 PM

    Test

    ReplyDelete
  2. ronbrownfanJuly 5, 2020 at 1:43 PM

    Although Virginia's shares of cases and fatalities seem to have edged up slightly, Virginia is still significantly lower than the other areas in terms of per-capita measures.

    This is particularly the case for per-capita fatalities as shown by the above graph. Perhaps this is due to differences in health care resources or simply differences in the characteristics of the populations.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. TYJuly 5, 2020 at 7:21 PM

      The underlying demographics of Virginia, Maryland, and DC are all distinct, of course. A separate research question for a another time.

      Delete

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

End of the Road

My work on this blog is ending as of today. It appears, for better or worse, that the public is moving on from COVID-19, and it doesn't make sense to continue computing statistics for an issue of increasingly marginal public concern. Perhaps it is fitting that this is all occurring in early March, which is almost two years to the date since this all began . My initial effort was to try to do something productive with the situation, particularly as many of us felt fairly helpless. I hope at least some of my analysis was useful to you. I will not be making any more updates, revisions, etc. I will keep all of the posts and data up in perpetuity, or at least as long as Google/Blogger keeps this blog up.
Read more

February 3-9 2022 Update

Image
This post updates COVID-19 confirmed case data for the DC Metropolitan area as of 9 February 2022 2022  (covering 3 -9 February) .  The total confirmed cases in the DC area rose by 10,528 t o  933,857   ( average daily increase of 1,504 )  from  the previous total of  923,329 . Fatalities rose  by 210 t o  9,025   ( average daily increase of 30 )  from  the previous total of  8,815 . This will be my last weekly update, although I'll continue to do the monthly update. With the apparent retreat of the omicron variant, which occurred nearly as rapidly as it took off in December, I'm not really sure what relevance the case counts have any more (if they ever did, particularly once vaccines became available). If this is, as some experts claim, approaching an endemic status, then I don't really have much rationale for watching weekly movements. Cases DC Region: 933,857 By State DC Region (933,857) Maryland: 392,181 District of Columbia: 132,628 Virginia: 409,048 By Jurisdiction Ma
Read more

February 2022 Summary Statistics

Image
I will present some summary statistics which can explain the trends that we observed during the month of February 2022. This complements similar reports from   previous months . The post-peak decline of Omicron continued throughout the month. As of late February, the DC area is under 1,000 reported daily cases. This is the first time the region has been at that level since early December 2021 . Note that the apparent "spike" of infections in mid-late February was driven by single datum for 16 February (10,554 cases), which itself was driven by an unusual datum for Maryland (9,839 cases). I presume this was  backlog, and you will note that the downward trend continued. Total Case Growth Total cases on  31 January: 919,425 Total  cases  on 28 February: 959,092 Total  case  increase: 39,667 Smallest daily case increase: 343 (28 February) Largest daily case increase: 10,554  (16 February) Average daily increase: 1,417 Total Fatality Growth Total fatalities on  31 January: 8,756 T
Read more