November 2021 Summary Statistics

I will present some summary statistics which can explain the trends that we observed during the month of November 2021. This complements similar reports from previous months. 

This will be the last monthly summary to include the "Regional Shares" analysis. It has become obvious over the past several months that the numbers for regional shares of infections and fatalities barely move, and if they do, they simply trend towards the population share. This doesn't really come as a surprise this far into the pandemic, but it also means that the statistic has lost any particular utility.

Total Case Growth
Total cases on 31 October: 507,807
Total cases on 30 November: 525,948
Total case increase: 18,141

Smallest daily case increase: 353 (1 November)
Largest daily case increase: 883 (17 November)

Average daily increase: 605




Total Fatality Growth
Total fatalities on 31 October: 7,830
Total fatalities on 30 November : 7,957
Total fatality increase: 127

Smallest daily fatality increase: 0 (22 November)
Largest daily fatality increase: 10 (16 November)

Average daily increase: 4.23




State-Level Shares for November 2021

Median share of regional cases for Maryland: 43%
Median share of regional fatalities for Maryland: 52%
Maryland share of DC metropolitan-area population: 42%

Median share of regional cases for DC: 13%
Median share of regional fatalities for DC: 15%
DC share of DC metropolitan-area population: 13%

Median share of regional cases for Virginia: 44%
Median share of regional fatalities for Virginia: 33%
Virginia share of DC metropolitan-area population: 45%






Population-adjusted statistics, per 1,000 of population (data as of 30 November)
MD cases: 95.917
MD fatalities: 1.744

DC cases: 95,447
DC fatalities: 1.703

VA cases: 91.480
VA fatalities: 1.035




Comments

  1. ronbrownfanDecember 16, 2021 at 6:01 PM

    Very good job with the monthly summaries over this period. Agree that not much has been changing across the jurisdictions, but still surprising how much lower cases and fatalities per capita are in VA compared with MD and DC.

    ReplyDelete

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