Posts

End of the Road

My work on this blog is ending as of today. It appears, for better or worse, that the public is moving on from COVID-19, and it doesn't make sense to continue computing statistics for an issue of increasingly marginal public concern. Perhaps it is fitting that this is all occurring in early March, which is almost two years to the date since this all began . My initial effort was to try to do something productive with the situation, particularly as many of us felt fairly helpless. I hope at least some of my analysis was useful to you. I will not be making any more updates, revisions, etc. I will keep all of the posts and data up in perpetuity, or at least as long as Google/Blogger keeps this blog up.

February 2022 Summary Statistics

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I will present some summary statistics which can explain the trends that we observed during the month of February 2022. This complements similar reports from   previous months . The post-peak decline of Omicron continued throughout the month. As of late February, the DC area is under 1,000 reported daily cases. This is the first time the region has been at that level since early December 2021 . Note that the apparent "spike" of infections in mid-late February was driven by single datum for 16 February (10,554 cases), which itself was driven by an unusual datum for Maryland (9,839 cases). I presume this was  backlog, and you will note that the downward trend continued. Total Case Growth Total cases on  31 January: 919,425 Total  cases  on 28 February: 959,092 Total  case  increase: 39,667 Smallest daily case increase: 343 (28 February) Largest daily case increase: 10,554  (16 February) Average daily increase: 1,417 Total Fatality Growth Total fatalities on  31 January: 8,756 T

February 3-9 2022 Update

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This post updates COVID-19 confirmed case data for the DC Metropolitan area as of 9 February 2022 2022  (covering 3 -9 February) .  The total confirmed cases in the DC area rose by 10,528 t o  933,857   ( average daily increase of 1,504 )  from  the previous total of  923,329 . Fatalities rose  by 210 t o  9,025   ( average daily increase of 30 )  from  the previous total of  8,815 . This will be my last weekly update, although I'll continue to do the monthly update. With the apparent retreat of the omicron variant, which occurred nearly as rapidly as it took off in December, I'm not really sure what relevance the case counts have any more (if they ever did, particularly once vaccines became available). If this is, as some experts claim, approaching an endemic status, then I don't really have much rationale for watching weekly movements. Cases DC Region: 933,857 By State DC Region (933,857) Maryland: 392,181 District of Columbia: 132,628 Virginia: 409,048 By Jurisdiction Ma

January 27 - February 2 2022 Update

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This post updates COVID-19 confirmed case data for the DC Metropolitan area as of 2 February 2022 2022  (covering 27 January-2 February) .  The total confirmed cases in the DC area rose by 16,880 t o  923,329   ( average daily increase of 2,411 )  from  the previous total of  906,449 . Fatalities rose  by 149 t o  8,815   ( average daily increase of 21 )  from  the previous total of  8,666 . Cases DC Region: 923,329 By State DC Region (923,329) Maryland: 389,325 District of Columbia: 131,284 Virginia: 402,720 By Jurisdiction Maryland (389,325) Frederick County: 42,895 Montgomery County: 157,992 Prince George's County: 162,087 Charles County: 26,351 District of Columbia  ( 131,284 ) Virginia (402,720) Arlington County: 38,359 City of Alexandria: 28,528 Fairfax County: 170,709 Loudoun County: 62,621 Prince William County: 102,503 Fatalities DC Region: 8,815 By State DC Region (8,815) Maryland: 4,740 District of Columbia: 1,291 Virginia: 2,784 By Jurisdiction Maryland (4,740) Frederic

January 2022 Summary Statistics

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I will present some summary statistics which can explain the trends that we observed during the month of January 2022. This complements similar reports from   previous months . The Omicron wave appears to be well past peak, with newly-reported infections continuing to decline into late January Total Case Growth Total cases on  31 December: 663,692 Total  cases  on 31 January: 919,425 Total  case  increase: 255,273 Smallest daily case increase: 1,251 (31 January) Largest daily case increase:  18,497 (10 January) Average daily increase: 8,250 Total Fatality Growth Total fatalities on  31 December : 8,160 Total  fatalities  on 31 January: 8,756 Total  fatality  increase: 596 Smallest daily fatality increase: 3  ( 3 January ) Largest daily  fatality  increase: 45  (12 January ) Average daily increase : 19 Population-adjusted statistics, per 1,000 of population (data as of 31 January) MD cases: 163.169 MD fatalities: 1.979 DC cases:  186.416 DC fatalities: 1.836 VA cases:  158.720 VA fatali

January 20-26 Weekly Update

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This post updates COVID-19 confirmed case data for the DC Metropolitan area as of 26 January 2022  (covering 20-26 January) .  The total confirmed cases in the DC area rose by 31,856 t o  906,449   ( average daily increase of 4,551 )  from  the previous total of  874,593 . Fatalities rose  by 186 t o  8,666   ( average daily increase of 27 )  from  the previous total of  8,480 . Cases DC Region: 906,449 By State DC Region (906,449) Maryland: 384,293 District of Columbia: 129,479 Virginia: 392,677 By Jurisdiction Maryland (384,293) Frederick County: 42,141 Montgomery County: 155,675 Prince George's County: 160,594 Charles County: 25,883 District of Columbia  ( 129,479 ) Virginia (392,677) Arlington County: 37,211 City of Alexandria: 27,605 Fairfax County: 166,257 Loudoun County: 61,102 Prince William County: 100,502 Fatalities DC Region: 8,666 By State DC Region (8,666) Maryland: 4,641 District of Columbia: 1,282 Virginia: 2,743 By Jurisdiction Maryland (4,641) Frederick County: 470

January 13-19 Weekly Update

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This post updates COVID-19 confirmed case data for the DC Metropolitan area as of 19 January 2022  (covering 13- 19 January) .  The total confirmed cases in the DC area rose by 55,787 t o  874,593   ( average daily increase of 7,970 )  from  the previous total of 818,806 . Fatalities rose  by 150 t o  8,480   ( average daily increase of 21 )  from  the previous total of 8,330 . Cases DC Region: 874,593 By State DC Region (874,593) Maryland: 372,196 District of Columbia: 126,676 Virginia: 375,721 By Jurisdiction Maryland (372,196) Frederick County: 40,760 Montgomery County: 149,856 Prince George's County: 156,723 Charles County: 24,857 District of Columbia  ( 126,676 ) Virginia (375,721) Arlington County: 35,479 City of Alexandria: 26,340 Fairfax County: 158,915 Loudoun County: 58,410 Prince William County: 96,577 Fatalities DC Region: 8,480 By State DC Region (8,480) Maryland: 4,490 District of Columbia: 1,264 Virginia: 2,726 By Jurisdiction Maryland (4,490) Frederick County: 452 M