DC Metropolitan Area COVID-19 Analysis

This post updates COVID-19 confirmed case data for the DC Metropolitan area as of November 29th 2020 . The total confirmed cases in the DC area rose by 1,439 to  180,781  from  the previous total of 179,342 , an increase of approximately 1%. Fatalities rose by 8 to  4,098  from  the previous total of 4,090 . Cases DC Region: 180,781 By State DC Region (180,781) Maryland: 85,260 District of Columbia: 21,552 Virginia: 73,969 By Jurisdiction Maryland (85,260) Frederick County: 6,773 Montgomery County: 33,103 Prince George's County: 41,067 Charles County: 4,317 District of Columbia (21,552) Virginia (73,969) Arlington County: 6,260 City of Alexandria: 5,333 Fairfax County: 31,126 Loudoun County: 10,021 Prince William County: 21,229 Fatalities DC Region: 4,098 By State DC Region (4,098) Maryland: 2,133 District of Columbia: 680 Virginia: 1,285 By Jurisdiction Maryland (2,133) Frederick County: 150 Montgomery County: 951 Prince George's County: 927 Charles County: 105 District of Col

This post updates COVID-19 confirmed case data for the DC Metropolitan area as of November 28th 2020 . The total confirmed cases in the DC area rose by 1,797 to  179,342  from  the previous total of 177,545 , an increase of approximately 1%. Fatalities rose by 7 to  4,090  from  the previous total of 4,083 . Cases DC Region: 179,342 By State DC Region (179,342) Maryland: 84,523 District of Columbia: 21,448 Virginia: 73,371 By Jurisdiction Maryland (84,523) Frederick County: 6,660 Montgomery County: 32,790 Prince George's County: 40,797 Charles County: 4,276 District of Columbia (21,448) Virginia (73,371) Arlington County: 6,203 City of Alexandria: 5,303 Fairfax County: 30,759 Loudoun County: 9,980 Prince William County: 21,126 Fatalities DC Region: 4,090 By State DC Region (4,090) Maryland: 2,125 District of Columbia: 680 Virginia: 1,285 By Jurisdiction Maryland (2,125) Frederick County: 148 Montgomery County: 947 Prince George's County: 925 Charles County: 105 District of Colu

This post updates COVID-19 confirmed case data for the DC Metropolitan area as of November 27th 2020 . The total confirmed cases in the DC area rose by 1,623 to  177,545  from  the previous total of 175,922 , an increase of approximately 1%. Fatalities rose by 8 to  4,083  from  the previous total of 4,075 . Cases DC Region: 177,545 By State DC Region (177,545) Maryland: 83,909 District of Columbia: 21,308 Virginia: 72,328 By Jurisdiction Maryland (83,909) Frederick County: 6,575 Montgomery County: 32,601 Prince George's County: 40,479 Charles County: 4,254 District of Columbia (21,308) Virginia (72,328) Arlington County: 6,117 City of Alexandria: 5,222 Fairfax County: 30,260 Loudoun County: 9,872 Prince William County: 20,857 Fatalities DC Region: 4,083 By State DC Region (4,083) Maryland: 2,118 District of Columbia: 678 Virginia: 1,287 By Jurisdiction Maryland (2,118) Frederick County: 146 Montgomery County: 944 Prince George's County: 923 Charles County: 105 District of Colu

This post updates COVID-19 confirmed case data for the DC Metropolitan area as of November 26th 2020  🦃 . The total confirmed cases in the DC area rose by 1,716 to  175,922  from  the previous total of 174,206 , an increase of approximately 1%. Fatalities rose by 15 to  4,075  from  the previous total of 4,060 . Cases DC Region: 175,922 By State DC Region (175,922) Maryland: 83,023 District of Columbia: 20,937 Virginia: 71,962 By Jurisdiction Maryland (83,023) Frederick County: 6,485 Montgomery County: 32,259 Prince George's County: 40,095 Charles County: 4,184 District of Columbia (20,937) Virginia (71,962) Arlington County: 6,048 City of Alexandria: 5,169 Fairfax County: 30,242 Loudoun County: 9,817 Prince William County: 20,686 Fatalities DC Region: 4,075 By State DC Region (4,075) Maryland: 2,111 District of Columbia: 677 Virginia: 1,287 By Jurisdiction Maryland (2,111) Frederick County: 146 Montgomery County: 939 Prince George's County: 921 Charles County: 105 District of

This post updates COVID-19 confirmed case data for the DC Metropolitan area as of November 25th 2020. The total confirmed cases in the DC area rose by 2,358 to  174,206  from  the previous total of 171,848 , an increase of approximately 1%. Fatalities rose by 14 to  4,060  from  the previous total of 4,046 . This is, by a fairly wide margin, the largest increase in new cases (in absolute terms) since the start of the pandemic. The previous high had been 1,874, on 19 May 2020 . The increase of 2,358 for 25 November is 484 cases higher than that, an approximately 26% increase. Cases DC Region: 174,206 By State DC Region (174,206) Maryland: 82,338 District of Columbia: 20,736 Virginia: 71,132 By Jurisdiction Maryland (82,338) Frederick County: 6,385 Montgomery County: 32,005 Prince George's County: 39,790 Charles County: 4,158 District of Columbia (20,736) Virginia (71,132) Arlington County: 5,994 City of Alexandria: 5,106 Fairfax County: 29,868 Loudoun County: 9,717 Prince William Co

This post updates COVID-19 confirmed case data for the DC Metropolitan area as of November 24th 2020. The total confirmed cases in the DC area rose by 1,625 to  171,848  from  the previous total of 170,223 , an increase of approximately 1%. Fatalities rose by 14 to  4,046  from  the previous total of 4,032 . Cases DC Region: 171,848 By State DC Region (171,848) Maryland: 81,290 District of Columbia: 20,516 Virginia: 70,042 By Jurisdiction Maryland (81,290) Frederick County: 6,267 Montgomery County: 31,622 Prince George's County: 39,297 Charles County: 4,104 District of Columbia (20,516) Virginia (70,042) Arlington County: 5,905 City of Alexandria: 5,051 Fairfax County: 29,472 Loudoun County: 9,512 Prince William County: 20,102 Fatalities DC Region: 4,046 By State DC Region (4,046) Maryland: 2,094 District of Columbia: 677 Virginia: 1,275 By Jurisdiction Maryland (2,094) Frederick County: 146 Montgomery County: 935 Prince George's County: 909 Charles County: 104 District of Colu

This post updates COVID-19 confirmed case data for the DC Metropolitan area as of November 23rd 2020. The total confirmed cases in the DC area rose by 1,635 to  170,223  from  the previous total of 168,588 , an increase of approximately 1%. Fatalities rose by 3 to  4,032  from  the previous total of 4,029 . Cases DC Region: 170,223 By State DC Region (170,223) Maryland: 80,637 District of Columbia: 20,409 Virginia: 69,177 By Jurisdiction Maryland (80,637) Frederick County: 6,198 Montgomery County: 31,389 Prince George's County: 38,985 Charles County: 4,065 District of Columbia (20,409) Virginia (69,177) Arlington County: 5,856 City of Alexandria: 5,010 Fairfax County: 29,089 Loudoun County: 9,345 Prince William County: 19,877 Fatalities DC Region: 4,032 By State DC Region (4,032) Maryland: 2,089 District of Columbia: 673 Virginia: 1,270 By Jurisdiction Maryland (2,089) Frederick County: 146 Montgomery County: 932 Prince George's County: 907 Charles County: 104 District of Colum

This post updates COVID-19 confirmed case data for the DC Metropolitan area as of November 22nd 2020. The total confirmed cases in the DC area rose by 1,372 to  168,588  from  the previous total of 167,216 , an increase of approximately 1%. Fatalities rose by 5 to  4,029  from  the previous total of 4,024 . Cases DC Region: 168,588 By State DC Region (168,588) Maryland: 80,039 District of Columbia: 20,290 Virginia: 68,259 By Jurisdiction Maryland (80,039) Frederick County: 6,139 Montgomery County: 31,176 Prince George's County: 38,699 Charles County: 4,025 District of Columbia (20,290) Virginia (68,259) Arlington County: 5,758 City of Alexandria: 4,935 Fairfax County: 28,634 Loudoun County: 9,265 Prince William County: 19,667 Fatalities DC Region: 4,029 By State DC Region (4,029) Maryland: 2,088 District of Columbia: 672 Virginia: 1,269 By Jurisdiction Maryland (2,088) Frederick County: 146 Montgomery County: 931 Prince George's County: 907 Charles County: 104 District of Colum

This post updates COVID-19 confirmed case data for the DC Metropolitan area as of November 21st 2020. The total confirmed cases in the DC area rose by 1,678 to  167,216  from  the previous total of 165,538 , an increase of approximately 1%. Fatalities rose by 14 to  4,024  from  the previous total of 4,010 . Cases DC Region: 167,216 By State DC Region (167,216) Maryland: 79,336 District of Columbia: 20,151 Virginia: 67,729 By Jurisdiction Maryland (79,336) Frederick County: 6,036 Montgomery County: 30,882 Prince George's County: 38,428 Charles County: 3,990 District of Columbia (20,151) Virginia (67,729) Arlington County: 5,673 City of Alexandria: 4,882 Fairfax County: 28,345 Loudoun County: 9,216 Prince William County: 19,613 Fatalities DC Region: 4,024 By State DC Region (4,024) Maryland: 2,085 District of Columbia: 670 Virginia: 1,269 By Jurisdiction Maryland (2,085) Frederick County: 146 Montgomery County: 929 Prince George's County: 906 Charles County: 104 District of Colu

 I try really hard to stay out of the prognostication business, and focus strictly on analysis. I think there's more than enough value in trying to figure out what's presently going on in the DC area, rather than try to guess at things at get it wrong. My (silly in hindsight) assessment back in April the regional peak had been reached is proof of that. However, looking at the chart of new daily cases, which I called as a second wave back on November 10th , I feel really compelled to offer some sort of outlook on it. I've already said verbatim, if we expect this wave to be similar to the first, we can expect it to subside by mid-January 2021. However, we may already be beyond that point. I present to you a chart of the seven-day moving average of new infections. The advantage of this chart, is that it is a bit "smoother" than the day-to-day increases you typically see on here. It reduces the importance of spikes in the data, which are sometimes artifacts of day-of

This post updates COVID-19 confirmed case data for the DC Metropolitan area as of November 20th 2020. The total confirmed cases in the DC area rose by 1,676 to  165,538  from  the previous total of 163,862 , an increase of approximately 1%. Fatalities rose by 7 to  4,010  from  the previous total of 4,003 . Cases DC Region: 165,538 By State DC Region (165,538) Maryland: 78,514 District of Columbia: 19,961 Virginia: 67,063 By Jurisdiction Maryland (78,514) Frederick County: 5,943 Montgomery County: 30,580 Prince George's County: 38,053 Charles County: 3,938 District of Columbia (19,961) Virginia (67,063) Arlington County: 5,603 City of Alexandria: 4,831 Fairfax County: 28,013 Loudoun County: 9,149 Prince William County: 19,467 Fatalities DC Region: 4,010 By State DC Region (4,010) Maryland: 2,072 District of Columbia: 670 Virginia: 1,268 By Jurisdiction Maryland (2,072) Frederick County: 144 Montgomery County: 922 Prince George's County: 902 Charles County: 104 District of Colum

This post updates COVID-19 confirmed case data for the DC Metropolitan area as of November 19th 2020. The total confirmed cases in the DC area rose by 1,573 to  163,862  from  the previous total of 162,289 , an increase of approximately 1%. Fatalities rose by 15 to  4,003  from  the previous total of 3,988 . Cases DC Region: 163,862 By State DC Region (163,862) Maryland: 77,618 District of Columbia: 19,808 Virginia: 66,436 By Jurisdiction Maryland (77,618) Frederick County: 5,859 Montgomery County: 30,298 Prince George's County: 37,581 Charles County: 3,880 District of Columbia (19,808) Virginia (66,436) Arlington County: 5,544 City of Alexandria: 4,797 Fairfax County: 27,752 Loudoun County: 9,046 Prince William County: 19,297 Fatalities DC Region: 4,003 By State DC Region (4,003) Maryland: 2,069 District of Columbia: 669 Virginia: 1,265 By Jurisdiction Maryland (2,069) Frederick County: 144 Montgomery County: 919 Prince George's County: 902 Charles County: 104 District of Colu